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General Gen X's avatar

Have you ever run this program with slightly more retail friendly parameters such as no shorting or a minimum level of S&P exposure? I would be very curious to see how different it might look. Also, what is your opinion of TIPs for bond exposure? Thanks for everything!

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Prometheus Research's avatar

Forgot to answer the TIPS part! TIPS are probably a better diversifier to equities than nominal bonds. The problem is they just don’t have good ways to leverage them, which makes them a drag on total returns in an already low-vol Portoflio

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Prometheus Research's avatar

It can be done for sure, but both of those steps reduce expected performance. Doing those two things might bring sharpe ratios down from 1 to somewhere around 0.8 ish. Basically:

1. Making sure your never *net short* is not a huge deal.

2. Removing the shorts altogether reduces performance significanlty

3. Always maintaining equity exposure reduces alpha a lot. Returns are still good , but not any different from owning beta

There’s not some huge short-side alpha in the program, but the effective net sizing down is pretty important for it to work well

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Geva Zipper's avatar

GM

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Prometheus Research's avatar

Gm back

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Emily Brown's avatar

What is the approach to risk management? Are you using a 90 day volatility look back or something similar ? Thanks

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Prometheus Research's avatar

We estimate the expected volatility for current set of positions, and then shock the positions multiple standard deviations to come up with a worst case scenario. We then. scale to make sure that worst case scenario is not outside our maximum acceptable drawdown. That way we have a good idea of the worst-case outcome in a pre-defined way

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Emily Brown's avatar

Can you elaborate a little on the risk Control. Are you forecasting future volatility or scaling based on observed realized volatility or something else? Thanks.

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Artur's avatar

Is this discount only for the first year or a lifetime discount? Cheers

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Prometheus Research's avatar

The first year. But there will be another at the anniversary

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Artur's avatar

Great. Subscribed today.

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Budi Voogt's avatar

Terrific report Aahan.

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Prometheus Research's avatar

Thanks, Budi!

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