Prometheus ETF Portfolio

Weekly Rebalance: 02.21.2025

Welcome to Prometheus ETF Portfolio. The Prometheus ETF Portfolio aims to allow everyday investors to access an investment solution that combines active macro alpha, passive beta, and strict risk control, all in an easy-to-follow, low-turnover solution. We aim to achieve strong risk-adjusted returns relative to cash, with limited capital drawdowns in depth and duration. We do this in a highly accessible package, which rotates between three highly liquid ETFs, readily available to any investor with a brokerage account.

Let’s dive into our observations.

• Market Monitor: Over the last week, macro markets rose in aggregate, with stocks falling, commodities rising, treasuries rising, and gold rising. Over the last week, markets have moved to incrementally price a rising inflation environment. More broadly, our market regime monitors are showing a dominant market regime probability of falling growth, rising inflation, and rising liquidity.

• Economic Data Monitor: Economic data momentum remained flat, with jobless claims data weighing on momentum. Over the last week, Continuing Jobless Claims was the data release that macro markets took the most signal from with stocks falling, bonds rising, and commodities falling.

• Asset Class Signals: Signal remains consistent in terms of its regime implications, i.e., markets are likely to price in rising nominal growth. Equity markets are now seeing consistently positive signals.

• ETF Portfolio Updates: Over the last week, the Prometheus ETF Portfolio was down by 0.16%. The contributions to these portfolio returns were as follows: -0.72% from stocks, 0.57% from commodities, 0% from bonds, and 0% from cash.